I was preparing for my early morning class back in January 2025 when I received a notice regarding an asteroid called 2024 YR4. It said the probability it could hit Earth was unusually high. As ...

Probability is one of those things we all get wrong… deeply wrong. The good news is we’re not the only ones, says John Haigh, a mathematician at the University of Sussex in Brighton, UK, and author of ...

The probability of default in bonds measures credit risk and helps investors evaluate borrower reliability, compare yields, ...

You cannot predict markets with any high degree of success, or the duration and extent of a market move, but you can anticipate and pinpoint high-probability reversals or acceleration price and time ...

Honeybees can calculate probability, but it seems they don’t use it the same way we tend to. Andrew Barron at Macquarie University in Sydney, Australia, and his colleagues trained 20 honeybees to ...