Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.

The US labor market has weakened since March 2025, and it's likely to continue weakening based on the policies in place, ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Leadership professor, job market journalist-analyst, business advisor. Officially, an economic downturn is not a recession until ...

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening.

The Federal Fund futures are pricing an aggressive policy easing to 2.8%, which is consistent with a recession. The 10Y yields have been falling, driven primarily by the falling real yields, which ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Dan Irvine is an investment manager covering market trends. Investors chasing all-time highs now face the prospect of a ...

Investors are feeling increasingly pessimistic about the stock market. If a recession is looming, history has good news for investors. The right strategy can help protect your portfolio no matter what ...