Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

If the 10-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds 4.5%, it could be a challenge to the market, says BNY ...

While many investors understand the correlation between the inverted yield curve and a recession what is less known is that “when the curve starts to steepen again following an inversion that ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

The yield curve has gone from an obscure chart on bond desks to front-page material because it’s one of the few indicators that consistently front-runs the big turns in the economy. I still remember ...

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...