Inflation expectations among businesses can affect how they set current prices. Firms’ expectations diverged from those of ...

Local data presented by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco staff at the San Joaquin Valley Financial Empowerment convening ...

A new indicator—the Inflation Shock Momentum Index—can help identify emerging inflationary or disinflationary pressures in ...

Firms frequently revise not only their expectations, but also how uncertain they feel about those expectations. Using the U.S. Survey of Business Uncertainty, we study perceived uncertainty about ...

We measure how workers use genAI in their jobs using a nationally representative survey that links genAI use to detailed tasks. GenAI currently assists a broad range of work, with at least one in five ...

This paper proposes a validation framework for LLM-generated measurements when reliable benchmarks are unavailable. Validity is established by testing whether an LLM can reconstruct passages from ...

Mary C. Daly, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco joined José Luis Escrivá, Governor of the Banco de España for a moderated conversation at the Banco de España’s conference, ...

The Board of Governors and the Federal Reserve Banks annually prepare and release audited financial statements reflecting balances (as of December 31) and income and expenses for the year then ended.

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. This site presents a weekly and monthly series of the proxy funds rate, following Doh and Choi (2016), Choi, Doh, Foerster, and Martinez ...