Policy risks are set to fade just as markets underestimate hawkish Fed repricing and crowd into short-USD positions, setting the stage for a tactical dollar rebound into the election cycle. Go long ...
The global drive to build a resilient ex-China rare earth supply chain is accelerating. It has emerged as a strategic priority and is backed by both public and private sector investment in many ...
Productivity Does Not Equal Profits Chart 1 Productivity Growth Does Not Always Translate Into Profit Growth ...
M&A activity finally reaccelerated in Q4 2025—it’s just the start. Macro Hedge Funds have outperformed with top-decile performance from Discretionary Macro—but that’s towards the end. We move Macro ...
In Section I, Doug recommends cutting US equity exposure in favor of Europe as reduced recession odds make it unlikely that the US will draw safe-haven capital flows. In Section II, Jesse ranks middle ...
1. OverviewHistorically, a decline in MacroQuant’s US equity z-score to below -1 has provided a strong signal that stocks were likely to drop (Chart 1). The last two times the z-score fell below this ...
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